GTM Sauce

Burner · B2C · second phone number app

Judge paywall tests by projected customer lifetime value from day-8 and day-30 data

Unknownanalytics-attributionexperimentation

What they did

Cohort LTV is the 'true north' for picking experiment winners, but they can't wait for cohorts to mature, so they project from day-8 and day-30 signals. Users are bucketed into 3-day or 7-day trial treatments. Premium subs are optimized for long retention; lower-intent users are treated differently. Built client, server and marketing analytics from day one.
Stage
growth

In their words

Pivots, Funding, and Building Apps That Last – Greg Cohn, Burner

Play the episode

Greg Cohn… and this has been true since early on. And the thing you don't want to do, I guess, is try to solve a problem that's good enough for everyone, but great for no one, right? And so, there is a set of users who just wants to get in and out, and there's a different set of users that needs a number for a long period of time and is going to be price sensitive in a different way. They're going to be thinking about how much it costs them per year.

Greg CohnWhereas you were talking about paid downloads, people are thinking about that as a one-time expense, right? So, balancing those things, really cohort LTV is probably the true north, but within that, you can't wait for those metrics to mature. So, you have to project based on things that are happening at day eight or day 30. We have a three-day trial, we have a 7-day trial treatment, and so there are different things that you will get bucketed into depending on which cohort you're in.

David BarnardSo, with the cohorting, I imagine you're not just cohorting by time. Are you cohorting by answers to onboarding questions? Because it sounds like you're not just cohorting broadly, but you're trying to find... And you and I have talked about this before, Eric Crowley, the tourist versus locals. For those of you listening to the podcast, if you haven't heard that episode, go back and find it because it's really great.

Get tactics like this every Monday

New tactics from the week's founder interviews, each linked to where it was said.

More from this episode

Tags: cohort-ltv, early-signals, trial-length