The Superwall Podcast · 2026-07-10
Josh Peleg - $172M of App Building Advice in 50 Minutes
Josh Peleg (VP of M&A at BlueThrone, ex-Plarium) walks through six rules for a nine-figure app exit: own a narrowly defined category (Flo, Runna), build retentive 'locals' (year-one resubscribe 50% amazing), earn organic installs (50%+ great), charge premium prices now that ChatGPT reset the anchor to $20/month (Waking Up: ~25K downloads/month, >$1M/month revenue), build the story for the right buyer type (Strava buying Runna as funnel), and sell before you need to (MyFitnessPal resold for $100M+ less). Also BlueThrone's acquisition thesis and price-testing advice.
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Numbers mentioned
| Who | Metric | Value | Context | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raid: Shadow Legends | revenue | USD 1,000M/year approximate | 'a billion-plus in revenue for many, many years' | 4:37 |
| Raid: Shadow Legends | revenue | USD 3,000M approximate | Description calls Raid a '$3B+' franchise; body says $1B+ per year | 4:37 |
| BlueThrone | team size | 70 people | 41:49 | |
| BlueThrone | revenue | USD 400K–15M/year approximate | Acquisition target range: annual revenue of apps BlueThrone buys | 46:40 |
| personJosh Peleg, founder conversations as BlueThrone M&A lead | activity volume | 4–5 founder conversations/day approximate | 24:08 | |
| benchmarkBest-case exit multiple for a fast-growing, profitable consumer app | valuation | 6 x revenue run rate approximate | Best case, valued on future growth; requires strong growth and profitability | 8:10 |
| benchmarkEBITDA margin that counts as strong profitability for a nine-figure exit | margin | 30–50% approximate | EBITDA margin | 6:13 |
| benchmarkARR needed for a $100M+ valuation when valued on growth (run rate) | arr | USD 17M approximate | 8:10 | |
| benchmarkARR needed for a $100M+ valuation when valued on last-12-months revenue (slower growth) | arr | USD 30M–33M approximate | 8:43 | |
| benchmarkYear-one subscriber renewal (resubscribe) rate in consumer apps; not for dating apps | retention | 50% approximate | Year-one resubscribe: 50% amazing, 40% good, 30% okay, 20% bad | 17:08 |
| benchmarkShare of installs that are organic, as seen by an acquirer | share | 50% approximate | Organic install share: 50% great, 35-50% good, under 20% not great (UA treadmill) | 20:16 |
| marketApps submitted to the App Store, this year vs last year | growth rate | +80%/year approximate | 23:43 | |
| benchmarkMax annual price consumers would pay for an app before ChatGPT | price | USD 60/year approximate | 24:47 | |
| ChatGPT | price | USD 20/month approximate | Price that reset consumer app price anchors | 25:18 |
| benchmarkPayers needed for $30M ARR at $4.99/month | paying users | 500K payers illustrative | At $4.99/month; vs 125,000 payers at $20/month | 25:47 |
| benchmarkPayers needed for $30M ARR at $20/month | paying users | 125K payers illustrative | At $20/month | 25:47 |
| Waking Up | price | USD 20/month approximate | Monthly plan; annual is $150 | 26:51 |
| Waking Up | price | USD 150/year approximate | Annual plan; more than double Calm's $70/year | 34:18 |
| Waking Up | downloads | 25K downloads/month estimate | Sensor Tower estimate | 26:51 |
| Waking Up | revenue | USD 1M/month estimate | Over $1M/month, Sensor Tower estimate; ~$40 revenue per monthly download | 26:51 |
| benchmarkMonthly downloads-to-revenue ratio for consumer apps (downloads : USD) | arpu | 1–3 USD per download approximate | Host: 1:1 is standard, 1:2 or 1:3 is pretty good; Waking Up is ~1:40 | 27:14 |
| Purpose: Your AI Mentor | downloads | 20K downloads/month estimate | Host's research, likely Sensor Tower-type estimate | 28:10 |
| Purpose: Your AI Mentor | revenue | USD 200K/month estimate | Host's research estimate | 28:10 |
| Photoroom | arr | USD 50M approximate | Read off the guest's slide by the host; priced $15-30/month | 34:06 |
| Photoroom | price | USD 15–30/month approximate | 34:06 | |
| Calm | price | USD 70/year approximate | 34:06 | |
| Flo | users | 70M users/month approximate | 70M+ monthly active users at time of the General Atlantic round | 10:13 |
| Flo | funding raised | USD 200M/one-time approximate | 200M+ from General Atlantic | 10:13 |
| Flo | valuation | USD 1,000M approximate | $1B+; first women's health unicorn | 10:13 |
| Flo | activity volume | 100 experiments/month approximate | Over 100 experiments a month, from a graph the guest recalls | 48:53 |
| MyFitnessPal | exit price | USD 475M | Under Armour acquisition | 43:46 |
| MyFitnessPal | exit price | +USD -100M approximate | Francisco Partners paid over $100M less than Under Armour's 2015 price | 43:46 |
| benchmarkShare of consumer companies that reach an IPO | share | 2% approximate | 35:20 | |
| benchmarkShare of a price test's audience to expose to a higher price | share | 10–20% approximate | 33:30 |